Strategi Iran Terhadap Normalisasi Hubungan Uni Emirat Arab - Israel pada Tahun 2020 Strategi Iran Terhadap Normalisasi Hubungan Uni Emirat Arab - Israel pada Tahun 2020

Abstract

The normalization between the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Israel that occurred in 2020 became a phenomenon that shocked the international community and became bad news for Iran. This is because in the normalization agreement (Abraham Accords) there are several points that have the potential to become a threat to Iran's existence and also there are several potential threats from this normalization to Iran so that Iran condemns this normalization. This research aims to describe and analyze Iran's strategy towards the normalization of UAE - Israel relations in 2020 using the offense-defense theory by Stephen Van Evera. The offense-defense theory consists of four factors that determine state strategy in security dilemma, namely military factors, geography factors, social and political order factors, and diplomatic factors. This research uses a qualitative research method with an analytical and descriptive approach and used secondary data that obtained through library research method. Based on these four factors, the researcher found that both offensive and defensive strategies have the potential to be applied by Iran regarding the normalization of relations between the UAE and Israel in 2020, due to a balanced offensive and defensive potential. The conditions for offensive action are met by Iran in terms of military and diplomatic factors, while the conditions for defensive action are met by Iran in terms of geography and social and political order factors.